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Red103
952219.9
602345.2
446819.2
Blue153
1037620.5
297476.8
670528.8
3%Model gave it97%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7814250100200103153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+44
Endgame+44
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave3
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +27
17Coral scored#26
61Coral points92
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
83Total teleop110
Reef
6L4#14
4L3#5
5L2#8
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points6
103Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6023
#32
45.21.0
36.337.2
Auto6.3
Teleop38.2
End0.7
blue by 31.5
2974
#10
76.81.4
76.778.1
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
Second
9522
#42
19.91.0
15.916.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
blue by 8.9
6705
#31
28.81.4
19.821.2
Auto6.5
Teleop20.0
End2.3
Third
4468
#29
19.21.0
15.416.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.4
blue by 1.3
20.51.4
14.315.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed