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Red152
418832.3
402649.3
168359.7
Blue112
886524.1
634053.8
331831.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311096080100120140160180152112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+26Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points7
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +16
22Coral scored#16
80Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
94Total teleop78
Reef
9L4#6
8L3#5
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#21
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
6Foul points6
152Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.72.0
55.057.0
Auto12.1
Teleop40.1
End7.6
red by 5.9
53.80.5
49.449.9
Auto10.0
Teleop35.3
End8.6
Second
4026
#11
49.32.0
38.040.0
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End7.5
red by 17.9
3318
#19
31.40.5
29.229.6
Auto6.6
Teleop21.2
End3.6
Third
4188
#22
32.32.0
20.122.1
Auto4.9
Teleop26.1
End1.3
red by 8.2
8865
#34
24.10.5
17.918.4
Auto2.8
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed