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Red197
183373.0
810027.1
947739.6
Blue115
363537.8
529333.9
141419.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1289050100150200197115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+72Teleop
+84Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +62
33Coral scored#16
120Coral points56
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
18Processor points12
20Net points28
38Algae points40
158Total teleop96
Reef
15L4#7
8L3#5
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#2
44Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
0Foul points2
197Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.04.4
54.258.5
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
red by 35.3
3635
#33
37.80.2
29.229.4
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End0.9
Second
9477
#12
39.64.4
29.033.4
Auto6.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
red by 5.7
5293
#17
33.90.2
30.630.8
Auto8.9
Teleop22.8
End2.2
Third
8100
#37
27.14.4
24.128.5
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 8.0
1414
#43
19.00.2
23.924.1
Auto2.3
Teleop15.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed