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Red159
83222.6
948044.2
126159.3
Blue182
694443.5
100242.1
177191.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9816950150200250159182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+31
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points35
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +17
21Coral scored#28
77Coral points100
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
105Total teleop122
Reef
13L4#14
6L3#12
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#40
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
159Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.33.7
52.456.2
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
blue by 32.0
91.31.8
84.386.0
Auto27.4
Teleop54.3
End9.6
Second
9480
#21
44.23.7
36.540.3
Auto7.0
Teleop30.0
End7.2
red by 0.7
6944
#15
43.51.8
31.333.0
Auto6.5
Teleop35.6
End1.4
Third
832
#36
22.63.7
8.912.6
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End3.9
blue by 19.4
1002
#18
42.11.8
34.235.9
Auto7.6
Teleop32.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned