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Red117
947739.6
126159.3
241524.2
Blue108
507426.1
808039.4
363537.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13510350150200117108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+13Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#15
56Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
92Total teleop86
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#5
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
117Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.8
56.355.6
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
red by 19.9
8080
#28
39.40.0
40.140.1
Auto7.4
Teleop29.9
End2.1
Second
9477
#12
39.60.8
35.334.6
Auto6.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
red by 1.8
3635
#33
37.80.0
31.431.4
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End0.9
Third
2415
#39
24.20.8
25.624.8
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End0.8
blue by 1.9
5074
#24
26.10.0
25.025.0
Auto4.8
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed