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Red103
83222.6
694443.5
753816.9
Blue187
691964.4
183373.0
418832.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631760100150200250103187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+64
Endgame+78
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave0
3Coral scored#8
16Coral points40
16Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +40
16Coral scored#27
59Coral points97
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
18Processor points12
8Net points16
26Algae points28
85Total teleop125
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#7
3L2#8
3L1 · trough#10
24Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points6
103Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6944
#15
43.51.6
33.635.3
Auto6.5
Teleop35.6
End1.4
blue by 29.6
73.01.5
61.963.4
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
Second
832
#36
22.61.6
16.017.6
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End3.9
blue by 41.8
64.41.5
60.662.1
Auto14.7
Teleop41.8
End7.9
Third
7538
#40
16.91.6
17.619.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8
blue by 15.5
4188
#22
32.31.5
24.926.4
Auto4.9
Teleop26.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned