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Red104
694443.5
873635.0
363537.8
Blue118
1037620.5
691964.4
331831.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103123050150200250300104118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
27Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
77Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
104Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6944
#15
43.50.5
35.335.8
Auto6.5
Teleop35.6
End1.4
blue by 20.9
64.40.6
62.162.7
Auto14.7
Teleop41.8
End7.9
Second
3635
#33
37.80.5
31.431.9
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End0.9
red by 6.4
3318
#19
31.40.6
29.329.8
Auto6.6
Teleop21.2
End3.6
Third
8736
#26
35.00.5
29.429.9
Auto9.3
Teleop23.5
End2.1
red by 14.5
20.50.6
18.218.8
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned