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Red119
334430.8
402649.3
670528.8
Blue133
332938.5
948044.2
418832.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991186080140160180200119133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
16Coral scored#15
59Coral points55
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
18Processor points18
12Net points28
30Algae points46
89Total teleop101
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
119Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4026
#11
49.31.5
42.944.5
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End7.5
red by 5.1
9480
#21
44.21.6
41.543.1
Auto7.0
Teleop30.0
End7.2
Second
3344
#35
30.81.5
29.230.8
Auto4.7
Teleop22.7
End3.3
blue by 7.7
3329
#20
38.51.6
37.639.2
Auto4.6
Teleop31.5
End2.3
Third
6705
#31
28.81.5
21.222.7
Auto6.5
Teleop20.0
End2.3
blue by 3.5
4188
#22
32.31.6
26.428.0
Auto4.9
Teleop26.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned