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Red62
753816.9
682928.9
297476.8
Blue153
177191.3
507426.1
83222.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491478010012014016018062153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+73
Endgame+85
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave3
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
13Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +53
7Coral scored#19
25Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
35Total teleop88
Reef
3L4#10
3L3#4
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#5
10Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
0Foul points6
62Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#10
76.84.5
79.274.7
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
blue by 14.6
91.31.1
87.488.5
Auto27.4
Teleop54.3
End9.6
Second
6829
#27
28.94.5
31.727.1
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.7
red by 2.7
5074
#24
26.11.1
25.026.2
Auto4.8
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Third
7538
#40
16.94.5
19.214.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8
blue by 5.8
832
#36
22.61.1
17.618.7
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed68%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned