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Red96
886524.1
529333.9
947739.6
Blue146
745149.1
884921.9
126159.3
32%Model gave it68%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11014005020025096146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+54
Endgame+56
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +22
6Leave9
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points28
15Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +32
13Coral scored#21
45Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#6
12Processor points6
16Net points24
28Algae points30
73Total teleop105
Reef
4L4#11
5L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
6Foul points0
96Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9477
#12
39.61.1
35.434.3
Auto6.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
blue by 19.7
59.31.2
56.657.8
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Second
5293
#17
33.91.1
35.934.9
Auto8.9
Teleop22.8
End2.2
blue by 15.2
49.11.2
41.242.4
Auto12.4
Teleop32.1
End4.6
Third
8865
#34
24.11.1
23.422.4
Auto2.8
Teleop18.7
End2.6
red by 2.3
8849
#38
21.91.2
19.420.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed