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Red80
808039.4
560829.6
521910.8
Blue146
510937.8
100242.1
952219.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions889440608010012014016080146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+62
Endgame+64
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +61
13Coral scored#19
46Coral points69
1Processor algae#6
3Net algae#5
6Processor points36
12Net points20
18Algae points56
64Total teleop125
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points2
80Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8080
#28
39.41.3
39.137.8
Auto7.4
Teleop29.9
End2.1
blue by 2.7
1002
#18
42.12.5
39.041.5
Auto7.6
Teleop32.2
End2.3
Second
5608
#30
29.61.3
32.731.5
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End2.1
blue by 8.1
5109
#14
37.82.5
30.132.7
Auto5.3
Teleop33.0
End-0.5
Third
5219
#44
10.81.3
11.510.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
blue by 9.1
9522
#42
19.92.5
19.121.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed