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Red126
694443.5
411239.4
1037620.5
Blue100
590017.7
168359.7
141419.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10711150150200126100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
26Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +20
18Coral scored#17
64Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
6Processor points6
24Net points8
30Algae points14
94Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#7
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
126Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6944
#15
43.51.6
35.837.3
Auto6.5
Teleop35.6
End1.4
blue by 16.2
59.70.5
58.958.4
Auto12.1
Teleop40.1
End7.6
Second
4112
#45
39.41.6
39.641.1
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End1.2
red by 20.4
1414
#43
19.00.5
20.520.0
Auto2.3
Teleop15.9
End0.9
Third
20.51.6
18.820.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.7
red by 2.8
5900
#41
17.70.5
19.719.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsMissed