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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14011960801001601802008888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+12Teleop
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points12
26Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
48Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
88Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.4
Auto14.7
Teleop41.8
End7.9
red by 19.2
6023
#32
45.2
Auto6.3
Teleop38.2
End0.7
Second
9480
#21
44.2
Auto7.0
Teleop30.0
End7.2
red by 9.2
35.0
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End9.6
Third
4468
#29
19.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.4
blue by 12.2
3318
#19
31.4
Auto6.6
Teleop21.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned