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Red122
670528.8
183373.0
507426.1
Blue108
402649.3
886641.5
83222.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12810450150200122108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
22Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +15
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points45
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
84Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
122Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.00.4
66.767.2
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
red by 23.7
4026
#11
49.30.5
44.544.9
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End7.5
Second
6705
#31
28.80.4
22.723.1
Auto6.5
Teleop20.0
End2.3
blue by 12.7
8866
#23
41.50.5
37.938.4
Auto8.6
Teleop30.5
End2.4
Third
5074
#24
26.10.4
26.226.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.7
End2.5
red by 3.5
832
#36
22.60.5
18.719.2
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned