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Red135
634053.8
363537.8
926047.5
Blue157
334430.8
753816.9
177191.3
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143142100120160180135157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points27
24Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +10
20Coral scored#21
73Coral points75
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
6Processor points18
16Net points12
22Algae points30
95Total teleop105
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#8
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points6
135Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.2
53.553.4
Auto10.0
Teleop35.3
End8.6
blue by 37.5
91.30.7
88.589.3
Auto27.4
Teleop54.3
End9.6
Second
9260
#16
47.50.2
46.846.6
Auto8.8
Teleop37.7
End1.1
red by 16.7
3344
#35
30.80.7
30.831.5
Auto4.7
Teleop22.7
End3.3
Third
3635
#33
37.80.2
31.931.7
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End0.9
red by 20.9
7538
#40
16.90.7
14.715.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned