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Red177
692535.9
418832.3
297476.8
Blue136
241524.2
164849.8
332938.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166124100150200250177136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+49Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave0
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points12
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +24
25Coral scored#23
90Coral points82
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
12Processor points12
32Net points16
44Algae points28
134Total teleop110
Reef
9L4#7
10L3#7
6L2#8
6L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
177Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#10
76.82.0
74.776.7
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
red by 27.0
49.81.0
45.746.7
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Second
6925
#25
35.92.0
33.335.3
Auto6.8
Teleop27.4
End1.8
blue by 2.5
3329
#20
38.51.0
39.240.2
Auto4.6
Teleop31.5
End2.3
Third
4188
#22
32.32.0
28.030.0
Auto4.9
Teleop26.1
End1.3
red by 8.1
2415
#39
24.21.0
24.825.8
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned