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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861050501502009663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+43Teleop
+45Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
3Leave6
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +16
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
59Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points12
96Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5109
#14
37.80.9
32.733.5
Auto5.3
Teleop33.0
End-0.5
blue by 1.6
4112
#45
39.43.1
41.138.1
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End1.2
Second
8736
#26
35.00.9
29.930.8
Auto9.3
Teleop23.5
End2.1
red by 6.1
6829
#27
28.93.1
27.124.1
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.7
Third
20.50.9
20.321.2
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.7
blue by 6.6
8100
#37
27.13.1
28.525.5
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed