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Red137
126159.3
446819.2
694443.5
Blue71
886524.1
521910.8
948044.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134825010015020013771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+76Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +73
19Coral scored#5
68Coral points19
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
18Processor points6
24Net points12
42Algae points18
110Total teleop37
Reef
6L4#4
10L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
137Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.31.6
57.859.4
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
red by 15.2
9480
#21
44.20.3
43.142.8
Auto7.0
Teleop30.0
End7.2
Second
6944
#15
43.51.6
37.338.9
Auto6.5
Teleop35.6
End1.4
red by 19.4
8865
#34
24.10.3
22.422.1
Auto2.8
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Third
4468
#29
19.21.6
18.319.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.4
red by 8.4
5219
#44
10.80.3
10.39.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned