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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1138805010015020010465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+29Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
3Leave6
4Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
22Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
70Total teleop57
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
12Cage & park2
12Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
104Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9260
#16
47.50.3
38.038.3
Auto8.8
Teleop37.7
End1.1
red by 2.3
6023
#32
45.21.3
37.936.6
Auto6.3
Teleop38.2
End0.7
Second
3329
#20
38.50.3
28.929.2
Auto4.6
Teleop31.5
End2.3
red by 0.7
3635
#33
37.81.3
24.423.2
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End0.9
Third
35.00.3
26.526.8
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End9.6
red by 13.2
8849
#38
21.91.3
16.415.1
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed