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Red185
691964.4
590017.7
177191.3
Blue100
753816.9
873635.0
886524.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192460100150250300185100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+75Teleop
+85Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
6Leave9
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points11
47Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +48
22Coral scored#14
80Coral points52
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
114Total teleop66
Reef
9L4#6
9L3#5
8L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
37Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points0
185Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.30.0
83.783.7
Auto27.4
Teleop54.3
End9.6
red by 56.4
8736
#26
35.01.5
23.825.3
Auto9.3
Teleop23.5
End2.1
Second
64.40.0
57.957.9
Auto14.7
Teleop41.8
End7.9
red by 40.3
8865
#34
24.11.5
14.916.4
Auto2.8
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Third
5900
#41
17.70.0
17.917.9
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.1
red by 0.8
7538
#40
16.91.5
14.215.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
48%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsEarned