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Red96
634053.8
334430.8
590017.7
Blue117
83222.6
331831.4
808039.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118925010015020096117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
13Coral scored#21
46Coral points74
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
66Total teleop92
Reef
8L4#10
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
96Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.81.3
53.452.0
Auto10.0
Teleop35.3
End8.6
red by 14.4
8080
#28
39.41.3
37.839.1
Auto7.4
Teleop29.9
End2.1
Second
3344
#35
30.81.3
31.530.1
Auto4.7
Teleop22.7
End3.3
blue by 0.6
3318
#19
31.41.3
29.831.2
Auto6.6
Teleop21.2
End3.6
Third
5900
#41
17.71.3
19.217.8
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.1
blue by 5.0
832
#36
22.61.3
19.220.5
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned