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Red170
297476.8
168359.7
164849.8
Blue208
363537.8
745149.1
183373.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196149100250170208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+30
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points34
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +46
20Coral scored#26
71Coral points93
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#8
12Processor points24
20Net points32
32Algae points56
103Total teleop149
Reef
10L4#11
6L3#8
8L2#6
5L1 · trough#8
36Game pieces#45
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points8
170Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#10
76.81.2
76.775.5
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
red by 3.7
73.03.6
67.270.7
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
Second
59.71.2
58.457.2
Auto12.1
Teleop40.1
End7.6
red by 10.6
49.13.6
42.445.9
Auto12.4
Teleop32.1
End4.6
Third
49.81.2
46.745.5
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End8.6
red by 12.0
3635
#33
37.83.6
31.735.3
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned52%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned