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Red170
141419.0
177191.3
682928.9
Blue109
692535.9
952219.9
884921.9
96%Model gave it4%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1608150100150200170109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+43Teleop
+55Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave9
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points8
37Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +23
21Coral scored#16
77Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#7
12Processor points6
24Net points28
36Algae points34
113Total teleop90
Reef
12L4#8
6L3#3
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
6Foul points0
170Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.30.9
89.390.2
Auto27.4
Teleop54.3
End9.6
red by 55.4
6925
#25
35.91.0
35.336.3
Auto6.8
Teleop27.4
End1.8
Second
6829
#27
28.90.9
24.125.0
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.7
red by 7.0
8849
#38
21.91.0
20.621.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End1.8
Third
1414
#43
19.00.9
20.020.9
Auto2.3
Teleop15.9
End0.9
blue by 0.8
9522
#42
19.90.9
21.722.6
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsMissed