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Red96
873635.0
241524.2
418832.3
Blue102
810027.1
926047.5
507426.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9611005015020096102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
12Total auto20
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#14
38Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
80Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
96Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8736
#26
35.00.4
30.831.2
Auto9.3
Teleop23.5
End2.1
blue by 12.6
9260
#16
47.50.0
46.646.7
Auto8.8
Teleop37.7
End1.1
Second
4188
#22
32.30.4
30.030.4
Auto4.9
Teleop26.1
End1.3
red by 5.2
8100
#37
27.10.0
25.525.5
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End1.6
Third
2415
#39
24.20.4
25.826.2
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End0.8
blue by 1.9
5074
#24
26.10.0
26.626.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed