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Red147
691964.4
334430.8
808039.4
Blue183
183373.0
168359.7
560829.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131170100150200250147183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points16
33Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +40
18Coral scored#31
66Coral points110
1Processor algae#1
7Net algae#6
6Processor points6
28Net points24
34Algae points30
100Total teleop140
Reef
9L4#10
9L3#15
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
147Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.41.1
61.962.9
Auto14.7
Teleop41.8
End7.9
blue by 8.6
73.01.6
70.772.4
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
Second
8080
#28
39.41.1
39.140.2
Auto7.4
Teleop29.9
End2.1
blue by 20.3
59.71.6
57.258.8
Auto12.1
Teleop40.1
End7.6
Third
3344
#35
30.81.1
30.131.2
Auto4.7
Teleop22.7
End3.3
red by 1.2
5608
#30
29.61.6
30.732.3
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned