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Red83
331831.4
411239.4
590017.7
Blue157
670528.8
126159.3
510937.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931325015020083157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+76
Endgame+74
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave9
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +63
9Coral scored#23
34Coral points83
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
6Processor points12
16Net points24
22Algae points36
56Total teleop119
Reef
5L4#11
4L3#8
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#5
17Game pieces#36
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points0
83Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4112
#45
39.40.5
38.137.6
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End1.2
blue by 19.9
59.32.4
59.461.8
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Second
3318
#19
31.40.5
31.230.7
Auto6.6
Teleop21.2
End3.6
blue by 6.4
5109
#14
37.82.4
33.535.9
Auto5.3
Teleop33.0
End-0.5
Third
5900
#41
17.70.5
17.817.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.1
blue by 11.1
6705
#31
28.82.4
25.427.8
Auto6.5
Teleop20.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed