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Red191
873635.0
297476.8
947739.6
Blue221
177191.3
634053.8
948044.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159203100250300191221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+22
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +22
21Coral scored#34
77Coral points121
4Processor algae#5
10Net algae#3
24Processor points30
40Net points12
64Algae points42
141Total teleop163
Reef
10L4#19
8L3#12
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#50
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
191Total score221

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#10
76.82.2
75.577.7
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
blue by 14.6
91.31.5
90.291.7
Auto27.4
Teleop54.3
End9.6
Second
9477
#12
39.62.2
36.638.8
Auto6.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
blue by 14.3
53.81.5
52.053.5
Auto10.0
Teleop35.3
End8.6
Third
8736
#26
35.02.2
31.233.4
Auto9.3
Teleop23.5
End2.1
blue by 9.2
9480
#21
44.21.5
42.844.3
Auto7.0
Teleop30.0
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsEarned