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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5211701001502007084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+16
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
57Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
70Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8100
#37
27.10.6
25.526.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End1.6
blue by 11.4
3329
#20
38.51.6
40.538.8
Auto4.6
Teleop31.5
End2.3
Second
7538
#40
16.90.6
15.716.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8
blue by 19.1
6925
#25
35.91.6
36.334.6
Auto6.8
Teleop27.4
End1.8
Third
5219
#44
10.80.6
9.910.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
blue by 8.4
4468
#29
19.21.6
19.918.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed