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Red181
332938.5
947739.6
177191.3
Blue97
810027.1
83222.6
446819.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20356010015025030018197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+84Teleop
+84Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +59
27Coral scored#13
98Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
130Total teleop71
Reef
12L4#3
7L3#6
9L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points0
181Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.30.4
91.791.3
Auto27.4
Teleop54.3
End9.6
red by 64.3
8100
#37
27.11.0
26.127.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End1.6
Second
9477
#12
39.60.4
38.838.4
Auto6.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
red by 17.0
832
#36
22.61.0
21.722.6
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End3.9
Third
3329
#20
38.50.4
38.838.5
Auto4.6
Teleop31.5
End2.3
red by 19.3
4468
#29
19.21.0
18.219.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned