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Red124
418832.3
808039.4
602345.2
Blue132
363537.8
692535.9
682928.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14411250100200250124132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+6
Endgame+10
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +2
26Coral scored#21
92Coral points76
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
12Processor points6
4Net points24
16Algae points30
108Total teleop106
Reef
12L4#9
7L3#8
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
2Foul points0
124Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6023
#32
45.20.8
46.645.8
Auto6.3
Teleop38.2
End0.7
red by 7.5
3635
#33
37.81.3
36.537.8
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End0.9
Second
8080
#28
39.40.8
40.239.4
Auto7.4
Teleop29.9
End2.1
red by 3.5
6925
#25
35.91.3
34.635.9
Auto6.8
Teleop27.4
End1.8
Third
4188
#22
32.30.8
33.132.3
Auto4.9
Teleop26.1
End1.3
red by 3.5
6829
#27
28.91.3
26.928.3
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed