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Red77
241524.2
884921.9
334430.8
Blue143
694443.5
886524.1
402649.3
11%Model gave it89%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861335010015020077143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+62
Endgame+60
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +51
10Coral scored#19
35Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
45Total teleop96
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#9
1L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points6
77Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3344
#35
30.80.4
31.230.8
Auto4.7
Teleop22.7
End3.3
blue by 18.5
4026
#11
49.31.3
46.948.3
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End7.5
Second
2415
#39
24.20.4
24.624.2
Auto2.7
Teleop20.7
End0.8
blue by 19.3
6944
#15
43.51.3
41.642.9
Auto6.5
Teleop35.6
End1.4
Third
8849
#38
21.90.4
22.321.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.7
End1.8
blue by 2.3
8865
#34
24.11.3
22.824.1
Auto2.8
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned