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Red166
745149.1
886641.5
634053.8
Blue91
926047.5
521910.8
590017.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1697605010015020025030016691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+55Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave3
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points14
37Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +35
20Coral scored#16
73Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
105Total teleop70
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#6
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#22
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
166Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.7
53.554.3
Auto10.0
Teleop35.3
End8.6
red by 6.3
9260
#16
47.50.3
47.747.9
Auto8.8
Teleop37.7
End1.1
Second
49.10.7
48.749.5
Auto12.4
Teleop32.1
End4.6
red by 31.4
5900
#41
17.70.3
17.417.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Third
8866
#23
41.50.7
41.342.1
Auto8.6
Teleop30.5
End2.4
red by 30.7
5219
#44
10.80.3
10.510.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed