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Red107
1048235.0
753816.9
164849.8
Blue75
948044.2
1037620.5
507426.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1069605015020010775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+22Teleop
+30Endgame
+32Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +22
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points32
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
62Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
2Foul points0
107Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.80.4
48.348.8
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End8.6
red by 5.7
9480
#21
44.21.3
44.343.0
Auto7.0
Teleop30.0
End7.2
Second
35.00.4
34.034.4
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End9.6
red by 8.9
5074
#24
26.11.3
27.426.1
Auto4.8
Teleop18.7
End2.5
Third
7538
#40
16.90.4
16.216.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8
blue by 3.6
20.51.3
22.321.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned