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Red137
529333.9
952219.9
297476.8
Blue175
100242.1
873635.0
691964.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159158120130140150170180190200137175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+44
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave3
6Coral scored#5
32Coral points27
32Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +34
16Coral scored#24
59Coral points85
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
12Processor points24
24Net points20
36Algae points44
95Total teleop129
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#6
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#8
30Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
6Foul points0
137Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#10
76.81.1
77.776.6
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
red by 12.3
64.41.6
62.964.5
Auto14.7
Teleop41.8
End7.9
Second
5293
#17
33.91.1
35.033.9
Auto8.9
Teleop22.8
End2.2
blue by 8.2
1002
#18
42.11.6
40.442.1
Auto7.6
Teleop32.2
End2.3
Third
9522
#42
19.91.1
21.019.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
blue by 15.1
8736
#26
35.01.6
33.435.1
Auto9.3
Teleop23.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned