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Red225
183373.0
331831.4
177191.3
Blue110
682928.9
1048235.0
694443.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22497050150200250300225110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+83Teleop
+115Endgame
+115Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave6
11Coral scored#4
54Coral points20
54Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +55
26Coral scored#17
93Coral points60
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
18Processor points12
24Net points8
42Algae points20
135Total teleop80
Reef
11L4#6
7L3#8
12L2#4
7L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#25
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +115
0Foul points0
225Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.30.7
91.392.0
Auto27.4
Teleop54.3
End9.6
red by 47.9
6944
#15
43.50.1
42.943.0
Auto6.5
Teleop35.6
End1.4
Second
73.00.7
73.073.7
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
red by 38.0
35.00.1
34.434.5
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End9.6
Third
3318
#19
31.40.7
31.432.0
Auto6.6
Teleop21.2
End3.6
red by 2.5
6829
#27
28.90.1
28.328.4
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.7