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Red166
745149.1
634053.8
926047.5
Blue139
411239.4
402649.3
164849.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163140100150200250166139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+39Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +39
26Coral scored#19
95Coral points70
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
24Processor points18
20Net points12
44Algae points30
139Total teleop100
Reef
12L4#10
6L3#6
6L2#2
7L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
166Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.3
54.354.6
Auto10.0
Teleop35.3
End8.6
red by 4.0
49.80.1
48.848.8
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Second
49.10.3
49.549.8
Auto12.4
Teleop32.1
End4.6
blue by 0.2
4026
#11
49.30.1
48.348.3
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End7.5
Third
9260
#16
47.50.3
47.948.3
Auto8.8
Teleop37.7
End1.1
red by 8.1
4112
#45
39.40.1
38.338.4
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End1.2