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Red198
126159.3
297476.8
753816.9
Blue151
947739.6
510937.8
948044.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17513250100150200250198151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+43Teleop
+43Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
7Coral scored#4
35Coral points21
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +29
28Coral scored#16
100Coral points59
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
18Processor points18
16Net points28
34Algae points46
134Total teleop105
Reef
11L4#9
13L3#3
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +47
6Foul points2
198Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#10
76.80.6
76.677.2
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
red by 32.6
9480
#21
44.20.4
43.043.4
Auto7.0
Teleop30.0
End7.2
Second
59.30.6
59.159.7
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
red by 19.7
9477
#12
39.60.4
38.438.8
Auto6.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
Third
7538
#40
16.90.6
16.717.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8
blue by 20.9
5109
#14
37.80.4
36.637.0
Auto5.3
Teleop33.0
End-0.5