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Red178
691964.4
873635.0
168359.7
Blue172
402649.3
411239.4
164849.8
79%Model gave it21%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166138100150200178172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+2Teleop
0Endgame0
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points28
36Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +3
26Coral scored#23
94Coral points83
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
122Total teleop119
Reef
7L4#10
11L3#12
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points0
178Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.40.3
63.964.2
Auto14.7
Teleop41.8
End7.9
red by 14.6
49.80.8
49.049.8
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Second
59.70.3
59.259.5
Auto12.1
Teleop40.1
End7.6
red by 10.4
4026
#11
49.30.8
48.549.3
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End7.5
Third
8736
#26
35.00.3
34.434.8
Auto9.3
Teleop23.5
End2.1
blue by 4.4
4112
#45
39.40.8
38.639.4
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End1.2