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Red185
183373.0
331831.4
177191.3
Blue165
126159.3
297476.8
753816.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228162100150200250300185165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+8Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
10Coral scored#9
48Coral points44
54Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +2
17Coral scored#21
61Coral points77
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#3
12Processor points18
32Net points12
44Algae points30
105Total teleop107
Reef
10L4#13
5L3#6
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#6
37Game pieces#36
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
185Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.30.4
93.092.6
Auto27.4
Teleop54.3
End9.6
red by 14.6
2974
#10
76.80.2
77.277.4
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
Second
73.00.4
74.774.3
Auto15.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
red by 13.7
59.30.2
59.859.9
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Third
3318
#19
31.40.4
33.032.6
Auto6.6
Teleop21.2
End3.6
red by 14.5
7538
#40
16.90.2
17.317.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8