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Red140
694443.5
1048235.0
682928.9
Blue144
411239.4
402649.3
164849.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10714750200140144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+16
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points30
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +7
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
81Total teleop88
Reef
9L4#6
9L3#8
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +4
12Foul points0
140Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6944
#15
43.50.5
43.043.5
Auto6.5
Teleop35.6
End1.4
blue by 6.3
49.80.2
48.849.0
Auto11.1
Teleop30.1
End8.6
Second
35.00.5
34.535.0
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End9.6
blue by 14.3
4026
#11
49.30.2
48.348.5
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End7.5
Third
6829
#27
28.90.5
28.428.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.7
blue by 10.5
4112
#45
39.40.2
38.438.6
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End1.2