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Red131
947739.6
510937.8
948044.2
Blue94
886641.5
1037620.5
602345.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381198010016018020013194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+39Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +46
19Coral scored#11
69Coral points41
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
111Total teleop65
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
131Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9480
#21
44.20.1
43.443.5
Auto7.0
Teleop30.0
End7.2
blue by 1.1
6023
#32
45.20.4
45.645.2
Auto6.3
Teleop38.2
End0.7
Second
9477
#12
39.60.1
38.839.0
Auto6.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
blue by 1.9
8866
#23
41.50.4
41.941.5
Auto8.6
Teleop30.5
End2.4
Third
5109
#14
37.80.1
37.037.1
Auto5.3
Teleop33.0
End-0.5
red by 17.3
20.50.4
20.920.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.7