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Red175
126159.3
297476.8
753816.9
Blue151
691964.4
873635.0
168359.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170170130140150160180190200210175151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
8Coral scored#6
42Coral points31
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +12
23Coral scored#24
84Coral points86
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
120Total teleop108
Reef
13L4#13
5L3#6
9L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points2
175Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#10
76.80.1
77.277.2
Auto18.6
Teleop55.4
End2.8
red by 12.3
64.40.6
64.563.9
Auto14.7
Teleop41.8
End7.9
Second
59.30.1
59.759.8
Auto16.2
Teleop40.5
End2.6
blue by 0.4
59.70.6
59.859.2
Auto12.1
Teleop40.1
End7.6
Third
7538
#40
16.90.1
17.217.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End3.8
blue by 18.1
8736
#26
35.00.6
35.034.4
Auto9.3
Teleop23.5
End2.1