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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426802060801001201401601125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +12
2Coral scored#4
6Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
6Total teleop18
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
11Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3815
#15
14.61.9
3.71.8
Auto2.2
Teleop10.9
End1.5
blue by 7.0
21.73.6
25.722.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Second
4701
#19
7.93.2
18.114.9
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End1.1
blue by 0.9
7676
#31DQ
8.83.6
14.210.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Third
7.05.9
20.514.6
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
red by 3.0
4.03.2
11.014.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop3.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed