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Red22
164831.5
97707.2
332913.3
Blue56
52193.5
691941.1
694414.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6678020401001201401602256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
3Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +21
2Coral scored#5
7Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
7Total teleop28
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
6Foul points6
22Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.54.7
23.118.3
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End2.1
blue by 9.6
41.11.9
34.232.2
Auto8.0
Teleop25.6
End7.4
Second
3329
#24
13.34.7
20.015.3
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.0
blue by 1.6
6944
#21
14.91.9
18.116.2
Auto1.4
Teleop11.7
End1.8
Third
9770
#30
7.24.7
15.610.9
Auto1.4
Teleop4.6
End1.3
red by 3.7
5219
#14
3.51.9
15.013.1
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned