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Red21
75149.3
334412.3
100218.1
Blue62
67129.0
297448.8
590012.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions548802040801001201402162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+39
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +36
2Coral scored#12
8Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
16Total teleop52
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
21Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#13
18.14.6
15.610.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End2.0
blue by 30.7
48.83.1
41.638.5
Auto4.7
Teleop42.5
End1.5
Second
3344
#18
12.34.6
18.413.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
blue by 0.5
12.83.1
22.018.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End2.2
Third
7514
#28DQ
9.34.6
16.612.0
Auto1.3
Teleop6.2
End1.8
red by 0.3
6712
#16
9.02.1
11.69.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed