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Red26
381514.6
67129.0
Blue49
87615.4
670517.6
560823.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2057040801001202649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +2
4Coral scored#4
13Coral points15
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
17Total teleop19
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points18
26Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3815
#15
14.60.3
1.82.1
Auto2.2
Teleop10.9
End1.5
blue by 9.0
23.61.1
20.219.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.3
Second
6712
#16
9.00.3
9.910.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End2.1
blue by 8.6
6705
#10
17.61.8
17.115.3
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End1.9
Third
4.00.5
9.910.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop3.0
End1.3
blue by 1.4
8761
#20
5.41.8
10.18.2
Auto0.4
Teleop2.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
5%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed