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Red7
68874.7
47017.9
334412.3
Blue12
411216.8
44596.6
52193.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32410206080100712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +4
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop4
Reef
0L4#1
0L3#1
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
2Foul points0
7Total score12

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3344
#18
12.32.6
9.36.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
blue by 4.5
16.82.6
18.315.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Second
4701
#19
7.92.6
10.88.3
Auto1.4
Teleop5.4
End1.1
red by 1.3
4459
#22
6.62.6
8.96.3
Auto0.8
Teleop5.6
End0.2
Third
6887
#29
4.72.6
7.95.3
Auto3.0
Teleop0.4
End1.3
red by 1.2
5219
#14
3.52.6
8.45.7
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed