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Red96
691941.1
363521.7
602322.0
Blue94
297448.8
164831.5
75149.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80702040601001209694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
0Teleop0
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +13
14Coral scored#17
51Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
71Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#7
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
96Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.11.5
32.233.8
Auto8.0
Teleop25.6
End7.4
blue by 7.7
48.82.3
38.540.8
Auto4.7
Teleop42.5
End1.5
Second
22.01.5
14.415.9
Auto3.8
Teleop16.9
End1.3
blue by 9.4
31.52.3
13.615.9
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Third
21.71.5
20.722.3
Auto3.8
Teleop16.6
End1.2
red by 12.4
7514
#28DQ
9.32.3
7.910.2
Auto1.3
Teleop6.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed