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Red40
100218.1
602322.0
Blue35
884913.1
363521.7
52193.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45410102030506070804035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+9
Endgame+7
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +9
3Coral scored#5
11Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
15Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
12Foul points0
40Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.9
16.916.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.9
End1.3
red by 0.4
21.70.2
22.823.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Second
1002
#13
18.10.9
10.79.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End2.0
red by 5.0
8849
#11
13.10.2
9.19.2
Auto2.2
Teleop10.1
End0.8
Third
4.00.9
8.57.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop3.0
End1.3
red by 0.5
5219
#14
3.50.2
1.61.8
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed