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Red16
68874.7
67129.0
411216.8
Blue53
164831.5
17955.7
691941.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217204060801001201653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +35
2Coral scored#7
8Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
8Total teleop43
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
16Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.8
12.111.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End1.6
blue by 24.2
41.10.6
36.335.7
Auto8.0
Teleop25.6
End7.4
Second
6712
#16
9.00.5
7.97.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End2.1
blue by 22.5
31.50.6
18.918.3
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Third
6887
#29
4.70.8
3.32.5
Auto3.0
Teleop0.4
End1.3
blue by 1.1
1795
#27
5.70.6
3.32.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
7%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed